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PREDICTIONS: The Future of the Cruise Industry

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Here is my prediction of the future impacts of the coronavirus on the cruise industry in the months / years ahead.  Basically the damage has been done and it will be a long time before cruise passengers have confidence to return to the ships.

In the near term 1-6 months:
When cruise lines resume operations after a temporary suspension, a good number of their ships will remain laid-up. They just will NOT be able to fill all the ships right away.The number of cruise ports that prohibit cruise ship calls will increase. Bergen, Norway just joined the list of  destinations saying - "No Thanks" to the cruise lines. Ships will be laid up due to the lack of demand. Itineraries will be altered based on the health of those onboard. Potentially sick passengers will cause ports to be skipped or passengers to be quarantined. Cruise capacity in Europe will be ratcheted back significantly.Additional cruise lines will sporatically lay up ships, especially in seasons where demand…
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Cruise Ships Expected to Sail From New York and New Jersey in 2021.

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Although at this time it is probably just a projection of the future, I went out to the cruise line's websites about a week ago looking for ships expected to sail from the Port of New York / New Jersey in 2021.  Granted with the state of the world and the coronavirus outbreak, everything is subject to change or revision.

As of 4/18/2020 - Here are some of the ships expected sail to/from New York and New Jersey.


Carnival Cruises Carnival Magic Cunard Line  Queen Mary 2  Celebrity Cruises Celebrity Summit  Disney Cruise Line No 2021 cruises listed.  MSC Cruises  MSC Divina Norwegian Cruise Line Norwegian BreakawayNorwegian EscapeNorwegian JadeNorwegian JoyNorwegian GemNorwegian GetawayNorwegian Star Oceania Cruises Insignia Princess Cruises Sky PrincessCaribbean PrincessSea Princess   Regent Seven Seas Cruises Seven Seas MarinerSeven Seas SpendorSeven Seas NavigatorSeven Seas Voyager  Royal Caribbean Anthem of the SeaOasis of the SeasAdventure of the SeasEmpress of the Seas Silversea Silve…
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Norwegian Cruise Line to Lay-Up 3 Ships in Norfolk, Virginia.

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During last week's earning call, Norwegian Cruise Line announced that some ships would be moved to a cold lay-up status in order to reduce costs during the pause in operations.

On Friday it was announced that 3 Norwegian Cruise Line ships - the Norwegian Bliss, Norwegian Encore and the newly transformed Norwegian Spirit will be laid up at Norfolk Virginia's Portsmouth Marine Terminal . The ships reportedly have only a skeleton crew of 175 each. Crew member will NOT be allowed to go ashore but the ships will have reduced fuel, staffing and upkeep costs. The trade offs - these ships will require more time to reactivate to a cruising status.

This may be a foreshadowing of the fate of the Norwegian Bliss' Alaska program; the Norwegian Spirit's Eastern European cruise program and the Norwegian Encore's 2020 New York cruise program to Bermuda.

Although the current announcement says the lay-up in Norfolk is expected to be 30 days. It is assumed that the agreement can be …
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